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Red59
171613.0
308221.3
514815.6
Blue64
40214.5
52526.9
880225.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50622040801001205964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#13
21.30.5
19.920.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End2.2
blue by 5.6
525
#15
26.90.3
25.625.9
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Second
5148
#45
15.60.5
16.116.6
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 10.2
25.80.3
23.323.5
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
Third
1716
#21
13.00.5
10.511.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.5
red by 8.5
4021
#46
4.50.3
6.06.2
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed