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Red14
87004.6
341817.0
130611.5
Blue74
270422.4
109114.8
219432.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682020601001201401601474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3418
#39
17.01.6
16.514.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 15.3
32.30.2
30.230.4
Auto11.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
Second
1306
#40
11.51.6
14.613.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.4
blue by 11.0
22.40.2
23.723.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Third
8700
#54
4.61.6
6.85.2
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 10.2
1091
#17
14.80.2
14.714.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned