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Red41
40546.4
338113.6
957624.2
Blue52
622325.4
70610.6
514815.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506302040801001201404152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#25
24.20.4
23.923.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
blue by 1.3
6223
#28
25.40.8
27.526.7
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Second
3381
#34
13.60.4
14.113.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 2.0
5148
#45
15.60.8
16.615.7
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
4054
#51
6.40.5
8.68.0
Auto0.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 4.2
706
#33
10.60.8
11.610.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed