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Red65
52526.9
957813.3
665119.2
Blue85
96723.5
283028.9
369212.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646740506080901001106585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15
26.90.5
26.827.2
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.3
blue by 1.9
28.91.6
27.529.2
Auto12.5
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Second
6651
#36
19.20.5
18.819.2
Auto8.9
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 4.2
967
#27
23.51.6
22.023.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End0.1
Third
9578
#48
13.30.6
12.713.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End2.0
red by 0.7
3692
#23
12.61.6
11.012.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed