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Red55
710322.6
67328.1
957624.2
Blue74
309013.0
853113.2
590324.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801005574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#25
24.20.0
23.523.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
blue by 0.7
5903
#10
24.80.6
25.225.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Second
7103
#30
22.60.0
22.822.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.3
End1.2
red by 9.4
8531
#38
13.20.6
12.613.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
6732
#42
8.10.1
8.18.1
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
blue by 4.9
3090
#32
13.00.8
12.213.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned