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Red48
870116.1
622325.4
88037.8
Blue73
167522.5
558617.1
967618.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5659405070804873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#28
25.40.2
26.726.5
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 2.9
1675
#20
22.51.3
21.422.7
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
8701
#49
16.10.2
16.616.4
Auto7.6
Teleop7.2
End1.3
blue by 2.2
9676
#43
18.31.3
17.018.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
Third
8803
#53
7.80.2
8.17.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
blue by 9.2
5586
#29
17.11.3
14.615.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed