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Red64
957813.3
308221.3
220223.8
Blue52
109114.8
957624.2
297718.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445701001506452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#14
23.81.7
18.720.4
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End1.4
blue by 0.3
9576
#25
24.20.0
19.219.2
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Second
3082
#13
21.31.8
13.415.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End2.2
red by 2.8
2977
#37
18.50.0
22.122.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
9578
#48
13.31.8
13.311.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End2.0
blue by 1.5
1091
#17
14.80.0
8.68.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed