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Red83
220223.8
622325.4
590324.8
Blue62
270422.4
710322.6
167522.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85740501001508362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6223
#28
25.40.2
26.026.2
Auto10.4
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 2.8
7103
#30
22.60.3
22.922.6
Auto10.1
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Second
5903
#10
24.80.2
25.425.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End2.4
red by 2.3
1675
#20
22.50.3
22.822.5
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Third
2202
#14
23.80.2
24.424.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End1.4
red by 1.4
22.40.3
22.722.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1