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Red43
870118.6
99942.8
453121.2
Blue39
250621.0
179219.3
465519.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4465020801001201404339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.3
20.920.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End3.5
red by 0.1
2506
#6Sur
21.01.1
20.319.2
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
8701
#17Sur
18.60.3
16.516.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End0.4
blue by 0.9
4655
#19
19.51.1
19.218.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Third
9994
#26
2.80.5
5.34.8
Auto3.8
Teleop-2.0
End1.0
blue by 16.5
19.31.1
16.315.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed