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Red50
870118.6
9327.8
250621.0
Blue41
702134.4
35967.3
167516.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716940506080905041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#4
27.80.7
24.423.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
blue by 6.6
34.41.5
35.834.3
Auto14.0
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Second
21.00.7
19.218.5
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 5.0
1675
#28
16.01.5
20.218.7
Auto9.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.0
Third
8701
#17
18.60.7
17.016.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.4
End0.4
red by 11.4
3596
#30
7.31.5
8.06.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed