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Red86
171424.5
179219.3
109113.5
Blue43
220213.0
70612.0
219430.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547201001508643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.2
22.122.3
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End0.3
blue by 5.5
2194
#10
30.01.2
30.929.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Second
19.30.2
16.516.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 6.3
2202
#29
13.01.2
19.218.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
1091
#22
13.50.2
12.512.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 1.5
706
#20
12.01.2
11.510.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed