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Red90
453121.2
642124.7
9327.8
Blue59
173233.9
888014.3
171424.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727402040601001201409059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#4
27.81.6
23.425.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
blue by 6.2
33.90.5
29.729.2
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End5.7
Second
6421
#14
24.71.6
21.122.7
Auto12.2
Teleop11.9
End0.6
red by 0.2
24.50.5
23.623.1
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Third
21.21.6
19.320.9
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End3.5
red by 6.9
8880
#21
14.30.5
13.312.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsMissed