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Red31
319723.3
99942.8
70612.0
Blue97
657419.6
179219.3
9327.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40710501001503197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#11
23.30.5
22.522.0
Auto6.4
Teleop14.6
End2.3
blue by 4.4
93
#4
27.82.2
25.827.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
Second
706
#20
12.00.5
13.212.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 7.6
6574
#23
19.62.2
17.419.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End1.8
Third
9994
#26
2.80.8
3.42.6
Auto3.8
Teleop-2.0
End1.0
blue by 16.5
19.32.2
16.118.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned