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Red41
167516.0
999012.7
70612.0
Blue52
220213.0
99928.2
250621.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375302060801001204152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#28
16.00.1
22.522.7
Auto9.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.0
blue by 5.0
21.00.7
21.020.3
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
12.70.2
7.17.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 0.3
2202
#29
13.00.7
22.221.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
706
#20
12.00.1
9.29.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 3.8
9992
#27
8.21.2
5.54.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed