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Red37
465519.5
642124.7
125917.3
Blue48
9327.8
99942.8
167516.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705802040801001203748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#14
24.71.7
23.321.6
Auto12.2
Teleop11.9
End0.6
blue by 3.1
93
#4
27.80.4
25.825.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.6
End3.1
Second
4655
#19
19.51.7
20.919.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End4.1
red by 3.5
1675
#28
16.00.4
22.722.2
Auto9.6
Teleop6.4
End-0.0
Third
1259
#16
17.31.7
17.916.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 14.5
9994
#26
2.80.7
6.15.3
Auto3.8
Teleop-2.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed