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Red39
999012.7
35967.3
642124.7
Blue64
657419.6
250621.0
638119.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437101001502003964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#14
24.70.1
24.724.6
Auto12.2
Teleop11.9
End0.6
red by 3.7
21.00.1
21.021.1
Auto10.0
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Second
12.70.2
12.712.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 7.0
6574
#23
19.60.1
19.619.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End1.8
Third
3596
#30
7.30.1
7.37.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.1
blue by 12.2
6381
#18
19.50.1
19.419.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.7