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Red85
93024.0
478618.8
173231.0
Blue78
171429.3
874425.4
283022.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808640601001201408578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.3
30.831.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
red by 1.7
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
930
#7
24.00.3
23.824.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.6
End1.1
blue by 1.3
8744
#11
25.40.0
25.325.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Third
4786
#15
18.80.3
18.618.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 3.6
2830
#24
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0