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Red42
222012.0
94259.8
514813.6
Blue47
710318.4
36927.4
874425.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384902060804247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#21
13.60.1
14.514.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 11.8
8744
#11
25.40.4
16.316.7
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Second
2220
#48
12.00.1
10.310.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 6.4
7103
#26
18.40.4
15.616.0
Auto8.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
9425
#39
9.80.1
10.810.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
red by 2.4
3692
#46
7.40.4
11.511.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed