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Red37
250616.6
130612.4
20778.5
Blue41
710318.4
167518.4
220218.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4154102030506070803741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#42
16.60.2
15.415.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 2.2
2202
#25
18.70.7
16.916.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
1306
#33
12.40.2
13.513.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End0.7
blue by 6.0
1675
#28
18.40.7
12.712.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Third
2077
#52
8.50.2
9.69.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End2.6
blue by 9.9
7103
#26
18.40.7
17.717.0
Auto8.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed