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Red89
478618.8
171429.3
874425.4
Blue31
373414.2
266715.8
35969.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7543020601001208931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.7
25.926.6
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 13.5
2667
#31
15.81.3
17.315.9
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Second
8744
#11
25.41.1
18.619.7
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 11.2
3734
#20
14.21.3
13.412.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End1.5
Third
4786
#15
18.80.6
19.820.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 9.0
3596
#40
9.81.3
12.411.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed