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Red40
266715.8
809616.9
802911.8
Blue63
953523.8
9327.4
46457.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060801004063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8096
#34
16.90.0
12.812.8
Auto9.8
Teleop4.9
End2.2
blue by 10.5
93
#2
27.41.1
26.227.3
Auto4.9
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
2667
#31
15.80.0
15.915.9
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 8.0
23.81.8
13.114.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
8029
#45
11.80.0
11.511.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
red by 4.4
4645
#54
7.41.8
7.18.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed