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Red32
222012.0
710318.4
802911.8
Blue74
809616.9
173231.0
790012.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801001203274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#26
18.40.9
18.918.0
Auto8.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 12.6
31.01.1
28.429.5
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End2.4
Second
2220
#48
12.00.9
10.19.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 4.9
8096
#34
16.91.1
12.813.9
Auto9.8
Teleop4.9
End2.2
Third
8029
#45
11.80.9
11.510.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
blue by 0.7
7900
#35
12.51.8
11.513.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed