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Red74
638122.5
967613.0
953523.8
Blue47
874425.4
53712.0
880211.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5544020801001201407447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.82.8
14.917.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
blue by 1.5
8744
#11
25.40.6
20.421.1
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Second
22.51.7
24.426.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End2.0
red by 10.5
537
#47
12.00.6
10.511.1
Auto1.6
Teleop9.4
End1.0
Third
9676
#29
13.02.8
9.312.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End1.6
red by 1.3
8802
#50
11.70.6
10.310.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed