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Red60
453120.0
47878.5
710318.4
Blue98
219427.8
622323.5
319721.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386802060801001206098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4531
#27
20.02.1
16.618.7
Auto9.3
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 7.9
2194
#13
27.83.8
21.725.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
7103
#26
18.42.1
15.918.0
Auto8.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 5.1
23.53.8
17.221.1
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
Third
4787
#53
8.52.1
5.87.9
Auto4.6
Teleop2.0
End1.9
blue by 12.9
3197
#18
21.42.7
19.121.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned