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Red47
97608.0
94259.8
250616.6
Blue89
178126.7
167518.4
809616.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336402040801001204789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#42
16.60.3
16.316.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 10.1
1781
#14
26.72.3
24.026.3
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End2.6
Second
9425
#39
9.80.3
9.59.8
Auto5.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 8.6
1675
#28
18.43.1
15.318.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Third
9760
#38
8.00.3
7.78.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End0.2
blue by 8.9
8096
#34
16.92.3
14.516.8
Auto9.8
Teleop4.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed