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Red77
880211.7
953523.8
622323.5
Blue40
319721.4
558612.1
46457.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5945020801001207740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.2
20.121.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 2.5
3197
#18
21.40.5
21.821.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Second
23.51.2
21.122.3
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
red by 11.4
5586
#37
12.10.6
12.311.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Third
8802
#50
11.71.3
10.411.7
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 4.3
4645
#54
7.40.6
8.07.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed