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Red87
283022.4
874425.4
171429.3
Blue84
657413.6
219427.8
953523.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806220401001208784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.3
27.327.6
Auto10.1
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 1.5
2194
#13
27.80.7
25.326.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
8744
#11
25.40.3
22.923.2
Auto11.4
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 1.5
23.80.7
21.322.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
2830
#24
22.40.3
20.020.3
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 8.9
6574
#16
13.60.6
11.512.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8