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Red67
363024.8
389115.6
622323.5
Blue95
657413.6
219427.8
953523.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71664060801001206795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.1
24.824.8
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End0.5
blue by 3.0
2194
#13
27.80.7
26.126.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
23.50.1
23.423.5
Auto11.2
Teleop9.8
End2.5
blue by 0.4
23.80.7
22.122.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Third
3891
#22
15.60.1
15.515.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End1.1
red by 2.1
6574
#16
13.60.5
12.212.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8