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Qual 172024 TWIST
Red43
178121.6
66436.4
47879.8
Blue22
306127.4
96692.3
85316.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4644102030405060704322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#7
21.60.7
26.1→25.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End1.5
blue by 5.8
3061
#21
27.41.3
29.5→28.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
4787
#12
9.80.7
9.3→8.6
Auto6.3
Teleop1.3
End2.1
red by 3.2
8531
#17
6.51.3
6.8→5.6
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Third
6643
#5
6.40.7
5.5→4.8
Auto5.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.3
red by 4.1
9669
#27
2.31.3
4.7→3.4
Auto0.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed