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Qual 212024 TWIST
Red68
173230.6
249119.3
51487.8
Blue33
47879.8
63187.4
35968.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71180501001506833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.7
29.630.2
Auto12.3
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 20.8
4787
#12
9.80.7
8.69.3
Auto6.3
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Second
2491
#10
19.30.7
20.020.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End3.0
red by 11.3
3596
#14
8.00.7
7.38.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Third
5148
#19
7.80.7
8.28.9
Auto4.3
Teleop1.8
End1.7
red by 0.5
6318
#24
7.40.7
6.47.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed