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Red19
179213.0
85316.5
9320.9
Blue32
96692.3
249119.3
171419.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676720304050607080901932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#16
20.93.1
27.824.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.3
red by 1.2
19.61.9
24.522.7
Auto10.2
Teleop9.2
End0.2
Second
1792
#15
13.03.1
19.616.5
Auto7.2
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 6.3
2491
#10
19.31.9
27.425.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End3.0
Third
8531
#17
6.53.1
13.210.1
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
red by 4.2
9669
#27
2.32.3
7.95.6
Auto0.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed