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Qual 112024 WVROX
Red56
350423.1
446719.7
10868.1
Blue81
409917.1
162928.6
118811.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7169203040506080901005681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#11
23.10.8
20.8→20.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
blue by 5.5
1629
#4
28.60.5
30.2→29.7
Auto12.4
Teleop16.1
End0.1
Second
4467
#20
19.70.8
20.2→19.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.1
End0.9
red by 2.6
4099
#27
17.10.5
22.1→21.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.2
Third
1086
#28
8.10.8
21.5→20.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 3.6
1188
#26
11.70.5
11.4→10.9
Auto1.3
Teleop9.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned