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Qual 1112024 WVROX
Red68
15721.4
409917.1
446719.7
Blue119
345918.4
34615.6
31926.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6272020408010012014068119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#9
21.40.0
21.1→21.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End1.4
blue by 4.9
319
#5
26.31.5
26.6→28.1
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End-0.1
Second
4467
#20
19.70.0
20.1→20.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.1
End0.9
red by 1.4
3459
#15
18.41.5
16.4→17.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End-0.1
Third
4099
#27
17.10.0
16.5→16.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.2
red by 1.5
346
#14
15.61.5
21.1→22.7
Auto7.7
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed