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Red53
34927.9
353821.1
947510.4
Blue44
261418.2
901518.3
45617.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589601502005344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.17.7
21.128.8
Auto2.5
Teleop17.7
End0.9
red by 2.9
9015
#24
18.35.0
18.323.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.2
Second
9475
#19
10.40.2
10.410.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.4
End0.1
blue by 7.8
2614
#18
18.216.6
18.234.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Third
3492
#30
7.96.9
7.914.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 9.5
456
#22
17.32.4
17.314.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned51%Ensemble oddsMissed