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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353210204050601839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9050
#12
13.90.6
12.211.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 3.3
8882
#10
17.21.1
15.016.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Second
9991
#23
6.80.9
6.45.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 6.3
9995
#19
13.01.9
5.87.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
Third
9997
#17
6.50.9
7.56.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 1.7
9218
#18
8.21.3
1.02.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed