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Red78
999513.0
186022.7
92188.2
Blue37
905013.9
999311.7
91109.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51330204060801001207837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
22.122.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 8.8
9050
#12
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Second
9995
#19
13.00.4
12.412.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.4
red by 1.4
11.70.0
11.611.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
9218
#18
8.20.4
7.68.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 1.6
9110
#22
9.80.0
9.79.8
Auto6.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7