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Red65
558427.4
99945.4
699621.2
Blue71
477423.2
998619.8
91478.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59532040801006571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.3
27.227.5
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 4.3
23.20.2
22.723.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
21.20.3
21.021.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 1.4
19.80.2
19.419.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9994
#16
5.40.3
5.15.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 2.8
9147
#19
8.10.2
7.77.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6