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Red48
712813.7
699621.2
95874.5
Blue57
99945.4
558427.4
998619.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4055020801001204857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.4
20.720.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 6.2
27.40.5
26.927.3
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
7128
#10
13.70.4
12.111.6
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 6.1
19.80.5
17.417.9
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9587
#17
4.50.4
7.06.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 0.8
9994
#16
5.40.5
5.96.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed