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Red33
91478.1
99945.4
699621.2
Blue38
99878.4
91895.4
712813.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4224060801003338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.2
20.220.1
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 7.5
7128
#10
13.70.6
11.612.2
Auto7.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Second
9147
#19
8.10.2
9.29.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End0.6
blue by 0.3
8.40.6
8.28.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Third
9994
#16
5.40.2
6.46.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Level
9189
#13
5.40.6
4.34.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed