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Red51
558427.4
643414.4
75839.1
Blue52
999510.8
91469.8
998619.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53500204060801001201405152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.4
27.326.9
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 7.6
19.80.1
17.918.0
Auto9.1
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
14.40.4
13.212.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 3.6
10.80.1
11.011.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Third
7583
#12
9.10.4
9.69.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.3
End2.4
blue by 0.7
9.80.1
10.911.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed