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Red65
643414.4
453715.7
99915.9
Blue38
99878.4
999510.8
56484.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392901020506070806538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.5
15.215.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 4.9
10.80.1
10.710.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.5
Second
14.40.5
13.914.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 6.0
8.40.1
8.38.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Third
9991
#14
5.90.5
5.45.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6
red by 1.1
5648
#18
4.80.1
4.74.8
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End1.5