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Red124
278347.0
402860.6
711114.1
Blue143
233861.9
402064.6
1001120.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13417180100120160180200220240124143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points48
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
81Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#13
7L3#5
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
124Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.0
60.260.2
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
blue by 4.1
64.60.3
65.164.8
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
Second
47.00.0
46.746.6
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
blue by 14.9
61.90.3
62.462.1
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
Third
7111
#36
14.10.0
13.713.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 6.3
20.40.3
20.920.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7