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Red123
877219.1
233861.9
305831.8
Blue84
219017.7
32542.4
426527.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997920406012014016012384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+27Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
74Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
123Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.94.3
40.144.4
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
red by 19.5
325
#9
42.41.3
33.034.3
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End4.7
Second
31.84.3
23.928.1
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
red by 4.2
4265
#37
27.51.3
25.026.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Third
8772
#18
19.14.3
20.624.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.0
red by 1.4
2190
#33
17.71.3
14.315.6
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed