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Red97
707225.3
396630.6
460113.6
Blue98
4827.4
222037.8
630218.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5481020401001201409798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+23
Endgame+13
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
59Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
12Foul points0
97Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#10
30.63.8
17.020.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
blue by 7.2
2220
#11
37.83.2
25.428.5
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
Second
7072
#16
25.33.8
20.624.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
blue by 2.0
48
#24
27.43.2
28.731.9
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Third
4601
#40
13.63.8
13.517.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 4.9
6302
#25
18.53.2
15.418.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed