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Red65
941027.4
53818.0
460113.6
Blue74
395921.9
297315.7
346825.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826220401001201406574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
36Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
65Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
27.40.9
34.934.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
red by 1.5
3468
#21
25.91.7
17.319.0
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
538
#31
18.00.9
24.623.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End2.6
blue by 3.9
3959
#41
21.91.7
22.924.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
Third
4601
#40
13.60.9
13.612.7
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 2.1
2973
#35
15.71.7
18.320.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed