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Red50
74413.5
395921.9
426527.5
Blue103
512516.9
402860.6
382429.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8387406010012014050103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+39
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +12
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
38Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points14
50Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#37
27.52.6
30.127.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
blue by 33.0
60.61.5
38.940.4
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
Second
3959
#41
21.92.6
24.121.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
blue by 7.4
3824
#15
29.31.5
19.020.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
Third
744
#28
13.52.6
19.116.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 3.3
5125
#27
16.91.5
17.919.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed