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Red136
426527.5
278347.0
742837.5
Blue85
382429.3
1001120.4
610713.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11958010015020013685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
79Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
136Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.5
41.843.4
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
red by 17.7
3824
#15
29.31.6
27.829.4
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
Second
37.51.4
36.037.4
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
red by 17.1
20.41.5
18.720.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Third
4265
#37
27.51.5
25.026.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
red by 14.4
6107
#29
13.11.4
11.713.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned