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Red215
1007957.1
580167.1
402873.9
Blue222
439185.6
283467.0
440077.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202235150250300350215222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave9
8Coral scored#7
40Coral points35
43Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +2
36Coral scored#33
130Coral points120
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
18Processor points18
16Net points24
34Algae points42
164Total teleop162
Reef
19L4#14
11L3#11
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#9
51Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points0
215Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#11
73.90.7
74.575.2
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
blue by 11.7
85.60.6
82.181.5
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
Second
5801
#51
67.10.7
62.663.3
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7
blue by 10.9
4400
#12
77.90.6
71.170.5
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
Third
57.10.7
54.755.4
Auto17.3
Teleop37.3
End2.6
blue by 9.9
2834
#19
67.00.6
66.766.1
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned