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Red219
119788.8
478857.9
192365.5
Blue210
752255.3
440077.9
34190.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215212180200220240260219210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
25Coral scored#28
90Coral points101
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
30Processor points18
32Net points28
62Algae points46
152Total teleop147
Reef
11L4#8
9L3#13
10L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
48Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
219Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.80.3
85.585.9
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
blue by 1.9
341
#7
90.70.4
84.083.6
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
Second
1923
#22
65.50.3
64.765.0
Auto17.8
Teleop45.9
End1.9
blue by 12.4
4400
#12
77.90.4
70.570.1
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
Third
4788
#27
57.90.3
52.552.9
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
red by 2.6
7522
#24
55.30.4
49.749.3
Auto10.6
Teleop41.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned