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Red205
1007957.1
223184.9
388029.6
Blue241
210665.8
1166.6
111481.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182228100150200250300205241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +3
29Coral scored#32
106Coral points115
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
12Processor points12
32Net points20
44Algae points32
150Total teleop147
Reef
14L4#18
12L3#11
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
205Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#46
84.91.7
82.984.7
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
red by 3.9
81.01.8
81.182.9
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
Second
57.11.7
59.461.1
Auto17.3
Teleop37.3
End2.6
blue by 9.5
11
#39
66.61.8
60.862.6
Auto11.3
Teleop45.1
End10.2
Third
3880
#73
29.61.7
25.527.2
Auto5.3
Teleop24.3
End-0.1
blue by 36.2
2106
#10
65.81.8
60.762.5
Auto17.8
Teleop39.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned